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2024 Election Prediction 538

2024 Presidential Polls Update

WEB Updates Average for Each Candidate, Accounting for Poll Recency

According to a new update from WEB, the average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls has been updated, taking into account the recency of each poll. The update shows that President Joe Biden's average has remained relatively stable, while former President Donald Trump's average has seen a slight increase.

538's Swing-O-Matic Shows Potential Outcomes

WEB's Swing-O-Matic, which allows users to simulate different scenarios in the 2024 election, shows what could happen if either President Biden or former President Trump were to run. The tool takes into account factors such as the current polling averages, the electoral map, and the historical performance of the parties.

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill Provide Latest Predictions

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill have also released their latest predictions for the 2024 election. Decision Desk HQ's model predicts that President Biden is currently favored to win, but the race is still considered close. The Hill's model gives Trump a slight edge in the current polling, but notes that the race is still very fluid.


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